台語兒童 發問時間: 商業與財經投資 · 10 年前

為什麼最近原物料價格漲,波羅地海指數(bdi)卻一直跌

如提,原物料及石油價格上漲,那不是代表經濟有復甦的現象,可是bdi卻一直創新低,代表全球航運需求減少,為什麼會有這個現象,還是說這是個領先指標,復甦出現疑慮??(請專業的人回答)

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所以說最近bdi下跌是因為產量減少的關係,不是因為需求減少的關係,原物料需求並沒有減少,所以經濟成長目前還沒有疑慮嗎

1 個解答

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  • 10 年前
    最佳解答

    Don't think in terms of economics indicator but think in terms of pure supply and demand. The supply side for most commodities and end products are facing serious strain for the past two quarters with drought and flood wiping out significant parts of the commodities supply, including corn, wheat, coal, etc.

    And because the supply side fell over the cliff, the shipment required will also decline accordingly. Thus the declining of BDI.

    參考資料: I manage $100+ million USD
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